Abstract
A statistical procedure of estimation of Probabilities of Failed Operations is described and exemplified using ECMWF weather forecasts and SIMO output from Rotor Lift test case models. Also safety factor influence is investigated.
DECOFF statistical method is benchmarked against standard Alpha-factor method defined by (DNV, 2011) and model performance is evaluated. Also, the effects that weather forecast uncertainty has on the output Probabilities of Failure is analysed and reported.
DECOFF statistical method is benchmarked against standard Alpha-factor method defined by (DNV, 2011) and model performance is evaluated. Also, the effects that weather forecast uncertainty has on the output Probabilities of Failure is analysed and reported.
| Originalsprog | Engelsk |
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| Antal sider | 92 |
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| Status | Udgivet - 31 dec. 2015 |