An experimental investigation of lead time and the effect of order crossover

Peter Nielsen*, Zbigniew Banaszak, Grzegorz Bocewicz, Zbigniew Michna

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingArticle in proceedingResearchpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper presents results from an experimental investigation of lead time distributions. The focus is on the order crossover phenomenon where slower orders are overtaken by faster orders and the impact of this on the structure of the observed lead time distribution. The natural conclusion is that the likelihood of order crossover occurring strongly depends on the skewness and variance of the lead time distribution. Furthermore, the conclusion is that while lead times may be i.i.d. random variables, when crossover occurs lead times observed in the sequence orders are received are in fact mutually dependent. This has a significant impact on how supply chain members should estimate lead times and lead time distributions. That lead times are in fact mutually dependent is a major finding and has implications for both practice and academia.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInformation Systems Architecture and Technology : Proceedings of 38th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology – ISAT 2017
Number of pages9
Volume657
PublisherSpringer
Publication date1 Jan 2018
EditionPart III
Pages89-97
ISBN (Print)978-3-319-67222-9
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-319-67223-6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018
Event38th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology, ISAT 2017 - Szklarska Poreba, Poland
Duration: 17 Sept 201719 Sept 2017

Conference

Conference38th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology, ISAT 2017
Country/TerritoryPoland
CitySzklarska Poreba
Period17/09/201719/09/2017
SeriesAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Volume657
ISSN2194-5357

Keywords

  • Bullwhip effect
  • Order crossover
  • Stochastic lead times
  • Supply chain management

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'An experimental investigation of lead time and the effect of order crossover'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this