Non-Stationary Modelling and Simulation of Near-Source Earthquake Ground Motion: ARMA and neural network methods

P. S. Skjærbæk, Poul Henning Kirkegaard, G. N. Fouskitakis, S. D. Fassois

    Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingArticle in proceedingResearchpeer-review

    2 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This paper is concerned with modelling and simulation of near-source earthquake ground motion. Recent studies have revealed that these motions show heavy non-stationary behaviour with very low frequencies dominating parts of the earthquake sequence. Modeling and simulation of this behaviour is of crucial importance in the design of flexible structures and other applications. This paper examines three approaches for the modelling and simulation of non-stationary nearsource ground accelerograms: The first one makes use of
    ARMA models combined with frequency and variance "stabilization". The second is based upon inherently nonstationary Time-dependent ARMA (TARMA) models, the parameters and variance of which are allowed to be explicit functions of time. The third approach is based on Neural Networks. The three approaches are used for the modelling and simulation of an accelerogram characterized by an epicentral distance of 16 km and measured during the 1979 Imperial Valley earthquake in California (U .S .A.). The results of the study indicate that while all three approaches can successfully predict near-source ground motions, the Neural Network based
    one gives somewhat poorer simulation results.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings of the 15th International Modal Analysis Conference : February 3-6, 1997, Orlando, Florida
    Number of pages7
    Volume2
    Place of PublicationBethel, Connecticut
    PublisherSociety for Experimental Mechanics
    Publication date1997
    Pages1904-1910
    ISBN (Print)0-912053-53-4
    Publication statusPublished - 1997
    EventThe International Modal Analysis Conference - Orlando, Florida, United States
    Duration: 3 Feb 19976 Feb 1997
    Conference number: 15

    Conference

    ConferenceThe International Modal Analysis Conference
    Number15
    Country/TerritoryUnited States
    CityOrlando, Florida
    Period03/02/199706/02/1997
    SeriesIMAC
    Volume2
    ISSN1046-6770

    Keywords

    • Earthquakes
    • New-Source Areas
    • Non-Stationary Signals
    • Stochastic Signals
    • ARMA
    • TARMA

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