Non-Parametric Bayesian Updating within the Assessment of Reliability for Offshore Wind Turbine Support Structures

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Abstract

This work illustrates the updating and incorporation of information in the assessment of fatigue reliability for offshore wind turbine. The new information, coming from external and condition monitoring can be used to direct updating of the stochastic variables through a non-parametric Bayesian updating approach and be integrated in the reliability analysis by a third-order polynomial chaos expansion approximation. Although Classical Bayesian updating approaches are often used because of its parametric formulation, non-parametric approaches are better alternatives for multi-parametric updating with a non-conjugating formulation. The results in this paper show the influence on the time dependent updated reliability when non-parametric and classical Bayesian approaches are used. Further, the influence on the reliability of the number of updated parameters is illustrated.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICASP11 : Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering : Zurich, Switzerland, 1 - 4 August 2011
EditorsMichael H. Faber, Koehler Jochen, Kazuyoshi Nishijima
Number of pages9
PublisherCRC Press
Publication date2011
Pages1256-1264
ISBN (Print)978-0-415-66986-3
Publication statusPublished - 2011
EventThe 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering - Zürich, Switzerland
Duration: 1 Aug 20114 Aug 2011

Conference

ConferenceThe 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
Country/TerritorySwitzerland
CityZürich
Period01/08/201104/08/2011

Keywords

  • Offshore Wind Turbines (OWT)
  • Fatigue Reliability
  • Bayesian Updating Approaches
  • Non-parametric Bayesian Updating Approaches

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