Association of CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score with Stroke, Thromboembolism, and Death in Hip Fracture Patients

OBJECTIVES: Patients undergoing hip fracture surgery have a 10 times increased risk of stroke compared with the general population. We aimed to evaluate the association between the CHA2 DS2 -VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, previous stroke/TIA [transient ischemic attack]/systemic embolism (2 points), vascular disease, age 65-74 years, and female sex) score and the risk of stroke, thromboembolism, and all-cause mortality in patients with hip fracture with or without atrial fibrillation (AF).

DESIGN: Nationwide prospective cohort study.

SETTING: Danish hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS: Subjects were all incident hip fracture patients in Denmark age 65 years and older with surgical repair procedures between 2004 and 2016 (n = 78,096). Participants were identified using the Danish Multidisciplinary Hip Fracture Registry.

MEASUREMENTS: We calculated incidence rates, cumulative incidences, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by CHA2 DS2 -VASc score, stratified on AF history.

RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke 1 year after hip fracture increased with ascending CHA2 DS2 -VASc score, and it was 1.9% for patients with a score of 1 and 8.6% for patients with a score above 5 in the AF group. Corresponding incidences in the non-AF group were 1.6% and 7.6%. Compared with a CHA2 DS2 -VASc score of 1, adjusted HRs were 5.53 (95% CI = 1.37-22.24) among AF patients and 4.91 (95% CI = 3.40-7.10) among non-AF patients with a score above 5. A dose-response-like association was observed for all cardiovascular outcomes. All-cause mortality risks and HRs were substantially higher for all CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores above 1 in both the AF group and the non-AF group.

CONCLUSION: Among patients with hip fracture, a higher CHA2 DS2 -VASc score was associated with increased risk of stroke, thromboembolism, and death. This finding applied both to patients with and without AF. Patients with high CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores had almost similar absolute risks for cardiovascular outcomes, irrespective of AF.