Modelling concentration-analgesia relationships for morphine to evaluate experimental pain models

The aim of this study was to develop population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic models for morphine in experimental pain induced by skin heat and muscle pressure, and to evaluate the experimental pain models with regard to assessment of morphine pharmacodynamics. In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover study, 39 healthy volunteers received an oral dose of 30 mg morphine hydrochloride or placebo. Non-linear mixed effects modelling was used to describe the plasma concentrations of morphine and metabolites, and the analgesic effect of morphine on experimental pain in skin and muscle. Baseline pain metrics varied between individuals and occasions, and were described with interindividual and interoccasion variability. Placebo-response did not change with time. For both pain metrics, morphine effect was proportional to baseline pain and was described with a linear model with interindividual variability on drug effect slope and linked to an effect compartment for muscle pressure. The models indicate that a steady-state morphine concentration of 21 ng/ml causes 33% and 0.84% increases in stimulus intensity from baseline for muscle pressure and skin heat, respectively. The population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic models developed in this study indicate that mechanical stimulation of muscle is a more clinically relevant pain stimulus for the assessment of morphine pharmacodynamics than thermal stimulation of skin.