Monitoring Poisson time series using multi-process models

Malene Dahl Skov Engebjerg, Søren Lundbye-Christensen, Birgitte B. Kjær, Henrik Carl Schønheyder

Publikation: Bog/antologi/afhandling/rapportRapportForskning

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Abstract

Surveillance of infectious diseases based on routinely collected public health data is important for at least three reasons: The early detection of an epidemic may facilitate prompt interventions and the seasonal variations and long term trend may be of general epidemiological interest. Furthermore aspects of health resource management may also be addressed. In this paper we center on the detection of outbreaks of infectious diseases. This is achieved by a multi-process Poisson state space model taking autocorrelation and overdispersion into account, which has been applied to a data set concerningMycoplasma pneumoniae infections.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
UdgivelsesstedAalborg
ForlagDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Aalborg University
Antal sider21
StatusUdgivet - mar. 2006
NavnResearch Report Series
NummerR-2006-07
ISSN1399-2503

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