Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments

Steen Leleur; Kim Bang Salling; Inga Pilkauskiene; Morten Skou Nicolaisen

Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments

Steen Leleur, Kim Bang Salling, Inga Pilkauskiene, Morten Skou Nicolaisen

Department of Sustainability and Planning

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Original language	English
Journal	European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research
Volume	15
Issue number	3
Pages (from-to)	363-375
Number of pages	12
ISSN	1567-7141
Publication status	Published - 2015

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http://tlo.tbm.tudelft.nl/fileadmin/Faculteit/TBM/Onderzoek/EJTIR/Back_issues/15.3/2015_03_06.pdf

AUB Link

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UNITE: Uncertainties in Transport Project Evaluation
Nicolaisen, M. S., Næss, P. & Andersen, J.
01/09/2009 → 31/12/2014
Project: Research

Cite this

Leleur, S., Salling, K. B., Pilkauskiene, I., & Nicolaisen, M. S. (2015). Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, 15(3), 363-375. http://tlo.tbm.tudelft.nl/fileadmin/Faculteit/TBM/Onderzoek/EJTIR/Back_issues/15.3/2015_03_06.pdf

@article{dda5637a495940e9bf40abc29ed179ec,

title = "Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments",

author = "Steen Leleur and Salling, {Kim Bang} and Inga Pilkauskiene and Nicolaisen, {Morten Skou}",

year = "2015",

language = "English",

volume = "15",

pages = "363--375",

journal = "European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research",

issn = "1567-7141",

publisher = "Technische Universiteit Delft",

number = "3",

}

Leleur, S, Salling, KB, Pilkauskiene, I & Nicolaisen, MS 2015, 'Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments', European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, vol. 15, no. 3, pp. 363-375. <http://tlo.tbm.tudelft.nl/fileadmin/Faculteit/TBM/Onderzoek/EJTIR/Back_issues/15.3/2015_03_06.pdf>

Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments. / Leleur, Steen; Salling, Kim Bang; Pilkauskiene, Inga et al.
In: European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, Vol. 15, No. 3, 2015, p. 363-375.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments

AU - Leleur, Steen

AU - Salling, Kim Bang

AU - Pilkauskiene, Inga

AU - Nicolaisen, Morten Skou

PY - 2015

Y1 - 2015

M3 - Journal article

SN - 1567-7141

VL - 15

SP - 363

EP - 375

JO - European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research

JF - European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research

IS - 3

ER -

Combining reference class forecasting with overconfidence theory for better risk assessment of transport infrastructure investments

Access to Document

AUB Link

Projects

UNITE: Uncertainties in Transport Project Evaluation

Cite this