Lifetime prognostics of lithium-ion battery pack based on its early cycling data and complete degradation information of battery cells

Jiwei Wang, Yunhong Che, Zhongwei Deng, Kaile Peng, Guoqing Guan, Abuliti Abudula*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingArticle in proceedingResearchpeer-review

Abstract

Lifetime prognostics of lithium-ion batteries plays an important role in improving safety and reducing operation and maintenance costs in the field of energy storage. To rapidly evaluate the lifetime of newly developed battery packs, a method for estimating the future health state of the battery pack using the aging data of the battery cell's full life cycle and the early data of the battery pack is proposed. First, the battery cycle aging characteristics are analyzed from different perspectives. The health indicators (HIs) related to battery aging are extracted from the partial discharge process, and three HIs closely related to battery capacity aging are selected through the Pearson coefficient analysis method. Then, the HIs degradation model of the battery cell based on exponential fitting is corrected by the HIs in the early cycle of the battery pack to predict the HIs degradation curve of each cell in the battery pack in the future cycle. Finally, based on the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model, the battery pack's lifetime is predicted using the early 10% cycle data of the battery pack and the predicted HIs of the battery in remaining life cycle. The experimental results show that the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) of the proposed method are 0.49% and 0.71%, respectively, which verify its advantages of high accuracy and reliability.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of 2021 IEEE 2nd International Conference on Information Technology, Big Data and Artificial Intelligence, ICIBA 2021
EditorsBing Xu, Kefen Mou
Number of pages5
PublisherIEEE
Publication date2021
Pages961-965
Article number9688313
ISBN (Print)978-1-6654-2878-1
ISBN (Electronic)978-1-6654-2877-4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021
Event2nd IEEE International Conference on Information Technology, Big Data and Artificial Intelligence, ICIBA 2021 - Chongqing, China
Duration: 17 Dec 202119 Dec 2021

Conference

Conference2nd IEEE International Conference on Information Technology, Big Data and Artificial Intelligence, ICIBA 2021
Country/TerritoryChina
CityChongqing
Period17/12/202119/12/2021
SponsorChengdu Union Institute of Science and Technology, Chongqing Geeks Education Technology Co., Ltd, Global Union Academy of Science and Technology, Chongqing Institute of Technology, Global Union Academy of Science and Technology, IEEE Beijing Section

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 IEEE.

Keywords

  • Energy Storage
  • Gaussian Process Regression
  • Health Indicator
  • Lithium-ion Battery
  • State of Health

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