Long term energy demand projections for croatian transport sector

Tomislav Puksec, Brian Vad Mathiesen, Neven Duic

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingArticle in proceedingResearchpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Transport sector in Croatia represents one of the largest consumers of energy today with a share of almost one third of final energy demand. That is why improving energy efficiency and implementing different mechanisms that would lead to energy savings in this sector would be relevant. Through this paper long term energy demand projections for Croatian transport sector will be shown with a special emphasis on different mechanisms, both financial, legal but also technological that will influence future energy demand scenarios. It was important to see how these mechanisms can influence, positive or negative, on future energy demand and which mechanism would be most influential. Energy demand predictions are based upon end-use simulation model developed and tested with Croatia as a case study. Model combines detailed modal structure of Croatian transport sector including road, rail, air and water transport modes with emphasis given to energy efficiency improvements of different vehicles. One of the features that model also includes is the intermodal forms of transport which can be important parameter in energy demand modeling. Additional value of the model lies in its applicableness to other countries and its transport sectors. Based on its importance regarding Croatian energy balance, transport sector represents important part of Croatian energy strategy. One of the major conclusions shown in this paper is significant possibilities for energy efficiency improvements and lower energy demand in the future based on careful and rational energy planning.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 24th International Conference on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems, ECOS 2011
Number of pages12
PublisherNis University
Publication date2011
Pages2576-2587
ISBN (Print)9788660550165
Publication statusPublished - 2011
Event24th International Conference on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems, ECOS 2011 - Novi Sad, Serbia
Duration: 4 Jul 20117 Jul 2011

Conference

Conference24th International Conference on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems, ECOS 2011
CountrySerbia
CityNovi Sad
Period04/07/201107/07/2011
SponsorDaikin, Elektroprivreda Srbije, et al., KnaufInsulation, Premogovnik, UNESCO Venice Office Regional Bureau Sci. Culture Europe

Keywords

  • Energy demand
  • Legal and technological mechanisms
  • Modeling
  • Transport sector

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