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Risk of Death From Various Causes According to Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

  • Young-Kwan Kim
  • , So-Ryoung Lee
  • , Eue-Keun Choi*
  • , Hyun Jin Ahn
  • , Nan Young Bae
  • , Kyung-Yeon Lee
  • , JungMin Choi
  • , Hyo-Jeong Ahn
  • , Soonil Kwon
  • , Kyungdo Han
  • , Seil Oh
  • , Gregory Y. H. Lip
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of adverse events including stroke and all-cause death. Understanding the pattern of causes of death (COD) with the relative risks in patients with AF compared to the non-AF population is essential in planning optimal care for patients with AF. We aimed to analyze the COD and its relative risks in patients with AF, using a nationwide population-based cohort.

METHODS: Using the Korean nationwide claims database, people aged 40 or older who received health examinations in 2009 were included if they had no missing values (n = 6,877,929). In total the study included 40,585 people with AF and 6,837,344 without AF. COD was defined by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) diagnostic codes. Comparison between the AF and non-AF groups was performed with Multivariate Cox proportional regression model.

RESULTS: In the AF group, cardiovascular diseases were the most common COD, causing 39.8% of all deaths, compared with 19.0% for non-AF subjects. The AF group was associated with a higher risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases by almost 3-fold than the matched non-AF group (hazard ratios [HR], 3.082; 95% confidence intervals [CIs], 2.963-3.205 for cardiovascular diseases; HR, 2.981; 95% CI, 2.799-3.175 for cerebrovascular diseases, all P < 0.001). Among patients with AF, the risks of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular death were well-stratified by CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores. The risk of cerebrovascular death was 11 times higher among patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 7.

CONCLUSION: Compared to non-AF individuals, patients with AF had a higher risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and the mortality risks were well-stratified by the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Integrated care management of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases for patients with AF might help mitigate mortality.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere306
JournalJournal of the Korean Physical Society
Volume39
Issue number47
Number of pages14
ISSN1011-8934
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 9 Dec 2024

Bibliographical note

© 2024 The Korean Academy of Medical Sciences.

Keywords

  • Humans
  • Atrial Fibrillation/mortality
  • Female
  • Male
  • Aged
  • Middle Aged
  • Republic of Korea/epidemiology
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Databases, Factual
  • Cause of Death
  • Risk Factors
  • Adult
  • Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cerebrovascular Disorders/mortality
  • Prevalence
  • Cohort Studies
  • Stroke/mortality

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