TY - GEN
T1 - Small-area population projections - A key element in knowledge based e-Governance
AU - Hansen, Henning Sten
PY - 2010/11/9
Y1 - 2010/11/9
N2 - Population is an important part of regional and local economy due to the population's role as labour force (tax payers), consumers, and users of public services. Consequently, the size, the age structure and the spatial distribution of population are essential factors in knowledge based e-Governance especially regarding the mid and long term planning of land-use and service facilities. Therefore, population projections are important inputs to decision-making at local and regional level. However, in order to be useful in a spatial decision-making context, the projections must be available for a subdivision of the territory to be managed. This requires a detailed and robust population projection model, plus reliable and up-to-date data. The current paper describes a Danish approach to small-area population projections based on the well-known cohort-component principle supplied with some structural elements, and demonstrate how the results can be used to serve the decision making concerning school planning.
AB - Population is an important part of regional and local economy due to the population's role as labour force (tax payers), consumers, and users of public services. Consequently, the size, the age structure and the spatial distribution of population are essential factors in knowledge based e-Governance especially regarding the mid and long term planning of land-use and service facilities. Therefore, population projections are important inputs to decision-making at local and regional level. However, in order to be useful in a spatial decision-making context, the projections must be available for a subdivision of the territory to be managed. This requires a detailed and robust population projection model, plus reliable and up-to-date data. The current paper describes a Danish approach to small-area population projections based on the well-known cohort-component principle supplied with some structural elements, and demonstrate how the results can be used to serve the decision making concerning school planning.
KW - decision support systems
KW - knowledge-based e-governance
KW - Population projections
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=78049426084&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-642-15172-9_4
DO - 10.1007/978-3-642-15172-9_4
M3 - Article in proceeding
AN - SCOPUS:78049426084
SN - 364215171X
SN - 9783642151712
T3 - Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
SP - 32
EP - 46
BT - Electronic Government and the Information Systems Perspective - First International Conference, EGOVIS 2010, Proceedings
T2 - 1st International Conference on Electronic Government and Information Systems Perspective, EGOVIS 2010
Y2 - 31 August 2010 through 2 September 2010
ER -