Stroke and death in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation in Japan compared with the United Kingdom

Keitaro Senoo, Yoshimori An, Hisashi Ogawa, Deirdre A Lane, Andreas Wolff, Eduard Shantsila, Masaharu Akao, Gregory Y H Lip

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

18 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Data on stroke, mortality and associated comorbidities in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) in Japan may differ from Western countries. There have been few systematic comparisons between stroke risk profiles and outcomes among community-based elderly (aged ≥75 years) patients with AF in Japan and the UK.

OBJECTIVE AND METHODS: We compared clinical characteristics, stroke risk and outcomes among elderly patients with AF from the Fushimi AF Registry (Japan; N=1791) and the Darlington AF Registry (UK; N=1338).

RESULTS: The Fushimi cohort had a mean age 81.8 (standard deviation (SD) 5.3) years and CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years (double), diabetes mellitus, previous thromboembolism (double), vascular disease, age 65-74 years and female gender) score 4.3 (1.4), whereas the Darlington cohort had a mean age 83.6 (5.7) years and CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.4 (1.4). Over a 12-month follow-up period, observed stroke and mortality rates in Fushimi were 3.4% (n=61) and 11.5% (n=206), while corresponding event rates in the Darlington cohort were 4.4% (n=59) and 14.1% (n=188), respectively. Appropriate use of oral anticoagulation (OAC, essentially a vitamin K antagonist) was <60% in both registries.On multivariable analysis, ethnicity (Japan vs UK) was neither associated with the risk of stroke (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.36; p=0.69) nor death (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.27; p=0.92). In a subgroup analysis of elderly patients not receiving OAC (n=1489), a history of stroke was associated with the risk of stroke (OR 2.42, 95% CI 1.39 to 4.12; p=0.002), but not ethnicity (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.50 to 1.47; p=0.58).

CONCLUSIONS: Elderly (age ≥75 years) patients with AF in both Japan and the UK are at similarly high risk of stroke and death, with OAC still underused in both populations. Ethnicity was not independently associated with the risk of stroke, regardless of OAC use or non-use.

Original languageEnglish
JournalHeart
Volume102
Issue number23
Pages (from-to)1878-1882
Number of pages5
ISSN1355-6037
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016

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