Temporal changes in risk of cardiovascular events in people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes with and without cardiovascular disease

Caroline H. Nørgaard*, Liis Starkopf, Thomas A. Gerds, Morten Malmborg, Anders N. Bonde, Bochra Zareini, Elisabeth Helen Anna Mills, Peter Vestergaard, Nathan D. Wong, Christian Torp-Pedersen, Christina J-Y Lee

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

AIMS: Examine temporal changes in the risk of cardiovascular events in people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes with and without cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS: 283,600 individuals with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and age-, sex-, and CVD-matched controls without diabetes were identified through Danish nationwide registries between 1997 and 2014. Using Cox regression models, we report the standardized absolute 5-year risk of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure for people with diabetes and controls.

RESULTS: Individuals with newly diagnosed diabetes were at increased risk of cardiovascular events compared to controls. From 1997-2002 to 2009-2014 reductions in cardiovascular events for people with diabetes were: cardiovascular death; 26.5% to 13.8% in people with CVD and from 7.3% to 3.2% in people without CVD, myocardial infarction; 13.1% to 6.5% in people with CVD and from 4.1% to 1.9% in people without CVD, stroke; 14.2% to 8.8% in people with CVD and from 4.9% to 2.2% in people without CVD, and heart failure; 21.0% to 13.8% in people with CVD and from 5.0% to 2.6% in people without CVD. The risk of cardiovascular events declined more among people with diabetes than controls.

CONCLUSIONS: Newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, and the risk decreased significantly 1997-2014 in both people with and without CVD. Furthermore, the excess risk associated with type 2 diabetes decreased significantly during the study period.

Original languageEnglish
Article number108126
JournalJournal of Diabetes and its Complications
Volume36
Issue number2
ISSN1056-8727
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2022

Bibliographical note

Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Keywords

  • Cardiovascular disease
  • Diabetes mellitus, type 2
  • Heart failure
  • Myocardial infarction
  • Stroke

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