Updating utilities and reconciling expert opinion

M. A. Maes*, M. H. Faber

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingArticle in proceedingResearchpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Decision makers can express different preferences and may select different alternatives as their optimal choices. This often constitutes a serious roadblock for further decision making. We choose in this paper to develop a framework that allows for the simultaneous action of several decision makers (instead of just one) and allows for the variability of preferences among these decision makers. The information provided by the varying opinions of decision makers can be used to optimize our own decision making. To achieve this, likelihood functions are developed for stated preferences among n discrete alternatives and for a ranking of n alternatives. We focus on the problem of tight decisions or close calls in order to explore the efficiency of a Bayesian approach using stated preferences and stated rankings.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvances in Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems - Proceedings of the 12th WG 7.5 Working Conference on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems
Number of pages10
Publication date2006
Pages235-244
ISBN (Print)0415399017, 9780415399012
Publication statusPublished - 2006
Externally publishedYes
Event12th Scientific Meeting of the International Federation for Information Processing (IFIP) Working Group 7.5 on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems - Aalborg, Denmark
Duration: 22 May 200525 May 2005

Conference

Conference12th Scientific Meeting of the International Federation for Information Processing (IFIP) Working Group 7.5 on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems
Country/TerritoryDenmark
CityAalborg
Period22/05/200525/05/2005
SponsorIFIP TC- 7, IFIP' Technical Committee on System Modelling and Optimization, Den Humanistiske Fakultet

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