Predictive models for assessment of buried pipeline response under seismic landslides in Iran

In seismic regions both in Iran and around the world, subterranean gas pipelines inevitably extend through high-risk areas prone to seismic landslides. The seismic landslide-pipe failure mechanism constitutes a continuum geomechanical challenge influenced by factors such as sliding mass configuration, pipe positioning relative to potential slope failure surfaces, and seismic input characteristics. In this study, response of steel pipeline buried in sand under seismic landslide action is analyzed by finite difference models using an advanced soil constitutive model. The numerical model is first validated based on the shaking table test results and then several dynamic analyses are performed using the selected records of the Iranian ground motions database. The outcomes of the dynamic analysis demonstrate that Arias Intensity (Ia) can be identified as an optimal intensity measure (IM) for predicting the seismic response of a slope-pipe system in terms of maximum pipe deflection, axial strain, and shear stress. Predictive models are then developed based on the optimal IM for estimating the pipe deflection, axial strain, and shear stress subjected to a seismic landslide. These proposed predictive models offer valuable insights for assessing the response of buried pipelines to seismic landslides in Iran within the framework of performance-based earthquake engineering.