TY - JOUR
T1 - Comparison of HAS-BLED and ORBIT bleeding risk scores in atrial fibrillation patients treated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants
T2 - A Report from the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry
AU - Proietti, Marco
AU - Romiti, Giulio Francesco
AU - Vitolo, Marco
AU - Potpara, Tatjana S.
AU - Boriani, Giuseppe
AU - Lip, Gregory Y.H.
AU - ESC-EHRA EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry Investigators
A2 - Riahi, Sam
A2 - Joensen, Albert Marni
A2 - Gammelmark, Anders
A2 - Rasmussen, Lars Hvilsted
A2 - Dinesen, Pia Thisted
A2 - Venø, Stine Krogh
A2 - Sørensen, Bodil Ginnerup
A2 - Korsgaard, Anne Marie
A2 - Andersen , Karen Petrea
A2 - Hellum, Camilla Fragtrup
N1 - © The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.
PY - 2022/11
Y1 - 2022/11
N2 - AIMS: Bleeding risk assessment is recommended in guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation (AF). The HAS-BLED score was proposed prior to non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and it has been suggested that the ORBIT score may be superior in predicting bleeds in NOAC users. We aimed to compare the HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores in contemporary AF patients treated with NOACs. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF (EURObservational Research Programme in AF) General Long-Term Registry. HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were computed based on original schemes. The primary outcome was the occurrence of major bleeding (MB). A total of 3018 patients (median age 70; 39.6% females) were included: median [interquartile range (IQR)] HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were 1 [1-2] and 1 [0-2], respectively; 356 (11.8%) patients were at high risk for MB using HAS-BLED (≥3) and 123 (4.1%) using ORBIT (≥4). Overall, 60 (2.0%) MB events were recorded, with an incidence of 1.1 per 100 patient-years. Both HAS-BLED and ORBIT were associated with outcome, modestly predicting MB [area under the curve (AUC) 0.653, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.593-0.714 and AUC 0.601, 95% CI 0.526-0.677, respectively]. Calibration plots showed that both scores were poorly calibrated, particularly the ORBIT score, which showed consistent poorer calibration. Time-dependent reclassification analysis showed a trend towards incorrect lower risk reclassification using ORBIT compared with HAS-BLED. CONCLUSION: In this real-life contemporary cohort of AF patients treated with NOACs, the ORBIT score did not provide reclassification improvement, showing even poorer calibration compared with HAS-BLED. Our findings do not support the preferential use of ORBIT in NOAC-treated AF patients.
AB - AIMS: Bleeding risk assessment is recommended in guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation (AF). The HAS-BLED score was proposed prior to non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and it has been suggested that the ORBIT score may be superior in predicting bleeds in NOAC users. We aimed to compare the HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores in contemporary AF patients treated with NOACs. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF (EURObservational Research Programme in AF) General Long-Term Registry. HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were computed based on original schemes. The primary outcome was the occurrence of major bleeding (MB). A total of 3018 patients (median age 70; 39.6% females) were included: median [interquartile range (IQR)] HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were 1 [1-2] and 1 [0-2], respectively; 356 (11.8%) patients were at high risk for MB using HAS-BLED (≥3) and 123 (4.1%) using ORBIT (≥4). Overall, 60 (2.0%) MB events were recorded, with an incidence of 1.1 per 100 patient-years. Both HAS-BLED and ORBIT were associated with outcome, modestly predicting MB [area under the curve (AUC) 0.653, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.593-0.714 and AUC 0.601, 95% CI 0.526-0.677, respectively]. Calibration plots showed that both scores were poorly calibrated, particularly the ORBIT score, which showed consistent poorer calibration. Time-dependent reclassification analysis showed a trend towards incorrect lower risk reclassification using ORBIT compared with HAS-BLED. CONCLUSION: In this real-life contemporary cohort of AF patients treated with NOACs, the ORBIT score did not provide reclassification improvement, showing even poorer calibration compared with HAS-BLED. Our findings do not support the preferential use of ORBIT in NOAC-treated AF patients.
KW - Atrial fibrillation
KW - Bleeding risk
KW - HAS-BLED
KW - ORBIT
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85140856594&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcab069
DO - 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcab069
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 34555148
SN - 2058-1742
VL - 8
SP - 778
EP - 786
JO - European heart journal. Quality of care & clinical outcomes
JF - European heart journal. Quality of care & clinical outcomes
IS - 7
M1 - qcab069
ER -