Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia

Tomislav Pukšec, Brian Vad Mathiesen, Tomislav Novosel, Neven Duić

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingResearchpeer-review

871 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

In the light of new European energy-climate package and its measures for increasing security of supply, decreasing the impact on environment and stimulating sustainable development with special emphasis on job creation and regional growth, Croatia as a future EU member state, needs to reconsider and develop new energy policy towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources, in order to comply with all of the presented tasks. Planning future energy demand, considering various policy options like regulation, fiscal and financial measures, becomes one of the crucial issues of future national energy strategy. This paper analyses Croatian long term energy demand and its effect on the future national GHG emissions. For that purpose the national energy demand model was constructed (NeD model). The model is comprised out of six modules each representing one sector, following Croatian national energy balance; industry, transport, households, services, agriculture and construction. For three of the modules (industry, transport and households) previously developed long term energy demand models were used, while for the remaining three new models were constructed. As an additional feature, new GHG module was assembled and added to the NeD model covering all six sectors and calculating its emissions. The model is based on bottom up approach, where data was available, which combines and process large number of input data at the end use level. NeD model was used to present different future GHG mitigation paths, based on the implementation of various energy policies. Results obtained in this paper were also compared to Croatian National Energy Strategy for the years 2020 and 2030. It was shown that if already implemented policies are properly taken into account the actual final energy demand for 2030 will be 43% lower than forecast by the Croatian National Energy Strategy.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationBook of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS
Number of pages1
PublisherFaculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb
Publication dateSep 2013
Pages111
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2013
Event8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems - Dubrovnik, Croatia
Duration: 22 Sep 201327 Sep 2013
http://www.dubrovnik2013.sdewes.org/

Conference

Conference8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems
CountryCroatia
CityDubrovnik
Period22/09/201327/09/2013
Internet address

Fingerprint

Energy policy
Energy balance
Agriculture
Energy efficiency
Sustainable development
Industry
Planning

Cite this

Pukšec, T., Mathiesen, B. V., Novosel, T., & Duić, N. (2013). Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia. In Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS (pp. 111). Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb.
Pukšec, Tomislav ; Mathiesen, Brian Vad ; Novosel, Tomislav ; Duić, Neven. / Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia. Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb, 2013. pp. 111
@inbook{ccd4ff2eff3047d1b68348b4ea02e8a0,
title = "Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia",
abstract = "In the light of new European energy-climate package and its measures for increasing security of supply, decreasing the impact on environment and stimulating sustainable development with special emphasis on job creation and regional growth, Croatia as a future EU member state, needs to reconsider and develop new energy policy towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources, in order to comply with all of the presented tasks. Planning future energy demand, considering various policy options like regulation, fiscal and financial measures, becomes one of the crucial issues of future national energy strategy. This paper analyses Croatian long term energy demand and its effect on the future national GHG emissions. For that purpose the national energy demand model was constructed (NeD model). The model is comprised out of six modules each representing one sector, following Croatian national energy balance; industry, transport, households, services, agriculture and construction. For three of the modules (industry, transport and households) previously developed long term energy demand models were used, while for the remaining three new models were constructed. As an additional feature, new GHG module was assembled and added to the NeD model covering all six sectors and calculating its emissions. The model is based on bottom up approach, where data was available, which combines and process large number of input data at the end use level. NeD model was used to present different future GHG mitigation paths, based on the implementation of various energy policies. Results obtained in this paper were also compared to Croatian National Energy Strategy for the years 2020 and 2030. It was shown that if already implemented policies are properly taken into account the actual final energy demand for 2030 will be 43{\%} lower than forecast by the Croatian National Energy Strategy.",
author = "Tomislav Pukšec and Mathiesen, {Brian Vad} and Tomislav Novosel and Neven Duić",
year = "2013",
month = "9",
language = "English",
pages = "111",
booktitle = "Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS",
publisher = "Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb",

}

Pukšec, T, Mathiesen, BV, Novosel, T & Duić, N 2013, Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia. in Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb, pp. 111, 8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems, Dubrovnik, Croatia, 22/09/2013.

Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia. / Pukšec, Tomislav; Mathiesen, Brian Vad; Novosel, Tomislav; Duić, Neven.

Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb, 2013. p. 111.

Research output: Contribution to book/anthology/report/conference proceedingConference abstract in proceedingResearchpeer-review

TY - ABST

T1 - Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia

AU - Pukšec, Tomislav

AU - Mathiesen, Brian Vad

AU - Novosel, Tomislav

AU - Duić, Neven

PY - 2013/9

Y1 - 2013/9

N2 - In the light of new European energy-climate package and its measures for increasing security of supply, decreasing the impact on environment and stimulating sustainable development with special emphasis on job creation and regional growth, Croatia as a future EU member state, needs to reconsider and develop new energy policy towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources, in order to comply with all of the presented tasks. Planning future energy demand, considering various policy options like regulation, fiscal and financial measures, becomes one of the crucial issues of future national energy strategy. This paper analyses Croatian long term energy demand and its effect on the future national GHG emissions. For that purpose the national energy demand model was constructed (NeD model). The model is comprised out of six modules each representing one sector, following Croatian national energy balance; industry, transport, households, services, agriculture and construction. For three of the modules (industry, transport and households) previously developed long term energy demand models were used, while for the remaining three new models were constructed. As an additional feature, new GHG module was assembled and added to the NeD model covering all six sectors and calculating its emissions. The model is based on bottom up approach, where data was available, which combines and process large number of input data at the end use level. NeD model was used to present different future GHG mitigation paths, based on the implementation of various energy policies. Results obtained in this paper were also compared to Croatian National Energy Strategy for the years 2020 and 2030. It was shown that if already implemented policies are properly taken into account the actual final energy demand for 2030 will be 43% lower than forecast by the Croatian National Energy Strategy.

AB - In the light of new European energy-climate package and its measures for increasing security of supply, decreasing the impact on environment and stimulating sustainable development with special emphasis on job creation and regional growth, Croatia as a future EU member state, needs to reconsider and develop new energy policy towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources, in order to comply with all of the presented tasks. Planning future energy demand, considering various policy options like regulation, fiscal and financial measures, becomes one of the crucial issues of future national energy strategy. This paper analyses Croatian long term energy demand and its effect on the future national GHG emissions. For that purpose the national energy demand model was constructed (NeD model). The model is comprised out of six modules each representing one sector, following Croatian national energy balance; industry, transport, households, services, agriculture and construction. For three of the modules (industry, transport and households) previously developed long term energy demand models were used, while for the remaining three new models were constructed. As an additional feature, new GHG module was assembled and added to the NeD model covering all six sectors and calculating its emissions. The model is based on bottom up approach, where data was available, which combines and process large number of input data at the end use level. NeD model was used to present different future GHG mitigation paths, based on the implementation of various energy policies. Results obtained in this paper were also compared to Croatian National Energy Strategy for the years 2020 and 2030. It was shown that if already implemented policies are properly taken into account the actual final energy demand for 2030 will be 43% lower than forecast by the Croatian National Energy Strategy.

M3 - Conference abstract in proceeding

SP - 111

BT - Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS

PB - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb

ER -

Pukšec T, Mathiesen BV, Novosel T, Duić N. Energy demand modelling and GHG emission reduction: case study Croatia. In Book of Abstracts: 8th CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY, WATER AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, Zagreb. 2013. p. 111