Abstract
Background: The long-term prognosis for employees with work-related mental health problems is unclear. We aim to describe long-term trends in health care utilization (HCU) and develop multivariable prognostic models for long-term mental health care utilization.
Methods: From the Danish Occupational Medicine Cohort we included mental health patients (N = 17,822) assessed from 2000 to 2013 at Departments of Occupational Medicine. Outcomes were general health (general practitioner, somatic hospital) and mental health (psychiatrist/psychologist, psychiatric hospital) HCU obtained from registries five years before/after assessment. The 10-year period was divided into phases relative to assessment: 5 - 3 years before, 2 years before/after, and 3-5 years after. We developed gender-stratified Lasso-penalized multivariable prognostic models for HCU 3-5 years after assessment assessing both calibration and discrimination.
Results: Prevalent HCU for general practitioner, psychiatrist/psychologist and psychiatric hospital services was relatively stable 5 - 3 years prior to assessment, then rising during the 2 years before/after. At 3-5 years after assessment prevalent general practitioner HCU declined to previous levels, while prevalent HCU for psychologist/psychiatrist and psychiatric hospital services remained elevated compared to previous levels during years 5 - 3. Prognostic models for long-term psychologist/psychiatrist and psychiatric hospital HCU indicated acceptable calibration and modest discrimination.
Conclusions: Prevalent HCU rose two years before/after assessment and remained elevated for psychiatrist/psychologist and psychiatric hospital HCU 3-5 years after. Gender-stratified prognostic models were developed for long-term mental health HCU, but discrimination and calibration should be further improved before out-of-sample application for personal prognosis.
Methods: From the Danish Occupational Medicine Cohort we included mental health patients (N = 17,822) assessed from 2000 to 2013 at Departments of Occupational Medicine. Outcomes were general health (general practitioner, somatic hospital) and mental health (psychiatrist/psychologist, psychiatric hospital) HCU obtained from registries five years before/after assessment. The 10-year period was divided into phases relative to assessment: 5 - 3 years before, 2 years before/after, and 3-5 years after. We developed gender-stratified Lasso-penalized multivariable prognostic models for HCU 3-5 years after assessment assessing both calibration and discrimination.
Results: Prevalent HCU for general practitioner, psychiatrist/psychologist and psychiatric hospital services was relatively stable 5 - 3 years prior to assessment, then rising during the 2 years before/after. At 3-5 years after assessment prevalent general practitioner HCU declined to previous levels, while prevalent HCU for psychologist/psychiatrist and psychiatric hospital services remained elevated compared to previous levels during years 5 - 3. Prognostic models for long-term psychologist/psychiatrist and psychiatric hospital HCU indicated acceptable calibration and modest discrimination.
Conclusions: Prevalent HCU rose two years before/after assessment and remained elevated for psychiatrist/psychologist and psychiatric hospital HCU 3-5 years after. Gender-stratified prognostic models were developed for long-term mental health HCU, but discrimination and calibration should be further improved before out-of-sample application for personal prognosis.
| Originalsprog | Engelsk |
|---|---|
| Artikelnummer | 834 |
| Tidsskrift | BMC Health Services Research |
| Vol/bind | 23 |
| ISSN | 1472-6963 |
| DOI | |
| Status | Udgivet - 7 aug. 2023 |
Bibliografisk note
Funding Information:The study was funded by the Danish Research Fund for the Work Environment (Grant-no. 20185100851).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.